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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
33.81% ( 0.34) | 24.97% ( -0.02) | 41.21% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 57.36% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% ( 0.18) | 45.96% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.73% ( 0.17) | 68.27% ( -0.18) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 0.29) | 26.22% ( -0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( 0.39) | 61.32% ( -0.4) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.75% ( -0.07) | 22.25% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.31% ( -0.11) | 55.69% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.81% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.97% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.35% Total : 41.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 107 | 19 | 88 | 87 |
2 | Feyenoord | 32 | 24 | 6 | 2 | 85 | 24 | 61 | 78 |
3 | FC Twente | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 63 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 61 |
5 | Ajax | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 69 | 59 | 10 | 52 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 47 | 15 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 49 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 43 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 36 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 64 | -21 | 35 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 26 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 79 | -48 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 32 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 25 | 71 | -46 | 2 |
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