MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 13:40:16| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
FC Utrecht
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 17, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stadion Galgenwaard
NEC

Utrecht
1 - 0
Nijmegen

Lammers (61')
Bozdogan (42'), van der Hoorn (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nuytinck (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between FC Utrecht and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almere City 1-1 Utrecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 2-0 Heerenveen
Sunday, March 10 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: FC Utrecht 2-1 NEC

There is little to pick between the sides heading into this one, and Sunday's game could easily head either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 54.47%. A win for NEC had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 1-0 (6.92%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
54.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 21.17% (0.155 0.16) 24.36% (-0.115 -0.12)
Both teams to score 64.24% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.97% (-0.89200000000001 -0.89)34.03% (0.9 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.1% (-1.018 -1.02)55.9% (1.025 1.03)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.35% (-0.304 -0.3)12.65% (0.312 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.2% (-0.637 -0.64)38.8% (0.64599999999999 0.65)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.54% (-0.574 -0.57)26.46% (0.581 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.36% (-0.771 -0.77)61.64% (0.779 0.78)
Score Analysis
    FC Utrecht 54.47%
    NEC 24.36%
    Draw 21.17%
FC UtrechtDrawNEC
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.164 0.16)
1-0 @ 6.92% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-0 @ 4.93% (0.055 0.05)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 2.25% (-0.077 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.052 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.93% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 54.47%
1-1 @ 9.2% (0.169 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.154 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.93% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 21.17%
1-2 @ 6.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.45% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.041 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.8% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.041 -0.04)
1-4 @ 0.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.36%

How you voted: Utrecht vs Nijmegen

FC Utrecht
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
NEC
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 6
Nijmegen
3-0
Utrecht
Proper (31'), Mattsson (34'), Dost (52' pen.)
Verdonk (17')

Jensen (44'), van der Maarel (58')
Mar 12, 2023 11.15am
Gameweek 25
Nijmegen
2-2
Utrecht
Dimata (31', 48')
Dost (63'), Boussaid (67')
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 28
Utrecht
1-0
Nijmegen
Douvikas (77')

Duelund (14'), Bruijn (50'), Proper (73')
Sep 22, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 5
Nijmegen
0-3
Utrecht
Ramselaar (7', 79'), Douvikas (66')
van der Maarel (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV312731103178684
2Feyenoord31236280245675
3FC Twente31196659312863
4AZ AlkmaarAZ31177762352758
5Ajax31131086558749
6NECNijmegen311211859471247
7FC UtrechtUtrecht3012994341245
8Go Ahead Eagles31119114542342
9Sparta RotterdamSparta30117124543240
10Heerenveen31106155064-1436
11PEC Zwolle3198144359-1635
12Fortuna SittardSittard3098133452-1835
13Almere CityAlmere City31712123151-2033
14Heracles3195174165-2432
15SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior31511154666-2026
16RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3066182950-2124
17FC VolendamVolendam3047193074-4419
RVitesse3045212268-46-1


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