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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 84.82%. A draw had a probability of 9.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 5.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 4-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.27%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Ajax in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Ajax.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
84.82% ( 0.01) | 9.74% ( -0) | 5.44% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
78.18% ( 0.01) | 21.82% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
59.36% ( 0.01) | 40.64% ( -0.01) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.44% ( 0.01) | 3.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.58% ( 0.01) | 15.42% ( -0) |
RKC Waalwijk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.27% ( 0) | 44.73% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.29% ( 0) | 80.72% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | RKC Waalwijk |
3-0 @ 9.85% 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0) 4-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.61% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.19% 6-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.66% 6-1 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) 7-1 @ 1.17% ( 0) 6-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 4.33% Total : 84.82% | 1-1 @ 4.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.87% 0-0 @ 1.59% Other @ 1.01% Total : 9.74% | 1-2 @ 1.72% 0-1 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.44% Total : 5.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |