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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 6
Sep 27, 2023 at 1pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Feyenoord

Ajax
0 - 4
Feyenoord


Taylor (41'), Vos (66'), Brobbey (80')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Gimenez (9', 18', 59'), Paixao (37')
Wellenreuther (42'), Gimenez (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Feyenoord, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-3 Marseille
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Celtic
Tuesday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Ajax 1-2 Feyenoord

The tides appear to be shifting in the Eredivisie, particularly after the visitors' clear league win last time around and their far stronger start to the new term, and we fancy Feyenoord to come out on top against their rivals in Amsterdam on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.26%) and 2-3 (4.74%). The likeliest Ajax win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
36.21% (-1.909 -1.91) 21.33% (-0.145 -0.15) 42.46% (2.048 2.05)
Both teams to score 71.82% (0.29600000000001 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.59% (0.48299999999999 0.48)27.4% (-0.489 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52% (0.607 0.61)47.99% (-0.613 -0.61)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-0.577 -0.58)16.44% (0.571 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-1.045 -1.05)46.12% (1.04 1.04)
Feyenoord Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.95% (0.93599999999999 0.94)14.04% (-0.941 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (1.815 1.82)41.61% (-1.82 -1.82)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 36.21%
    Feyenoord 42.46%
    Draw 21.33%
AjaxDrawFeyenoord
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.261 -0.26)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.247 -0.25)
3-2 @ 4.36% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-0 @ 3.76% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.153 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 8.18% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-2 @ 7.25% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.86% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 21.33%
1-2 @ 8.03% (0.145 0.15)
1-3 @ 5.26% (0.265 0.27)
2-3 @ 4.74% (0.152 0.15)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.45% (0.164 0.16)
0-3 @ 2.91% (0.2 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.211 0.21)
2-4 @ 2.33% (0.149 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.43% (0.142 0.14)
3-4 @ 1.4% (0.064 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.114 0.11)
2-5 @ 0.91% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 42.46%

How you voted: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Ajax
31.1%
Draw
13.3%
Feyenoord
55.6%
45
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Feyenoord
1-2
Ajax
Gimenez (45+2')
Tadic (14'), Klaassen (51')
Mar 19, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 26
Ajax
2-3
Feyenoord
Alvarez (17'), Tadic (37')
Gimenez (5'), Szymanski (52'), Geertruida (86')
Jan 22, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 17
Feyenoord
1-1
Ajax
Paixao (34')
Klaassen (71')
Mar 20, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 24
Ajax
3-2
Feyenoord
Haller (24'), Tadic (78'), Antony (86')
Antony (88'), Klaassen (90+5')
Antony (90+3')
Sinisterra (8'), Til (28')
Dec 19, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Feyenoord
0-2
Ajax

Linssen (13'), Toornstra (37'), Aursnes (51'), Slot (72'), Nelson (80')
Senesi (44' og.), Tadic (81' pen.)
Gravenberch (15'), Haller (32'), Antony (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446


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