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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Feyenoord had a probability of 10.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 3-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.36%), while for a Feyenoord win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
74.28% | 14.73% | 10.99% |
Both teams to score 59.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.79% | 27.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.24% | 47.76% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.77% | 6.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.48% | 23.52% |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.38% | 36.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.6% | 73.4% |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Feyenoord |
2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 8.18% 3-0 @ 8.14% 1-0 @ 6.33% 4-1 @ 5.68% 4-0 @ 5.65% 3-2 @ 4.11% 5-1 @ 3.15% 5-0 @ 3.14% 4-2 @ 2.85% 5-2 @ 1.58% 6-1 @ 1.46% 6-0 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 4% Total : 74.28% | 1-1 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 4.44% 0-0 @ 2.28% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.27% Total : 14.73% | 1-2 @ 3.2% 0-1 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-2 @ 1.15% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.79% Total : 10.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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