MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 18:12:28| >> :60:228:228:
Freiburg logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
2 - 1
St Pauli

Ginter (90+3'), Gregoritsch (119')
Kubler (80')
FT
(aet)
Daschner (42')
Fazliji (41'), Paqarada (44'), Aremu (79'), Daschner (79'), Wieckhoff (98'), Irvine (103'), Dzwigala (120+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Freiburg and St Pauli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Freiburg
Sunday, October 16 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-0 Hamburger SV
Friday, October 14 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

We say: Freiburg 3-0 St Pauli

Despite their excellent win at the weekend, St Pauli do not travel well and may find it very tough away to a Bundesliga side fighting near the top at the moment. Freiburg will just hope this is a stress-free encounter which can help rebuild some of the confidence lost by their heavy defeat at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).

Result
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
40.49% (1.018 1.02) 24.23% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 35.28% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 60.36% (-0.265 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.281 -0.28)42.21% (0.28100000000001 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.284 -0.28)64.61% (0.283 0.28)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (0.36399999999999 0.36)20.97% (-0.364 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (0.563 0.56)53.73% (-0.563 -0.56)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (-0.69 -0.69)23.62% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.3% (-1.008 -1.01)57.7% (1.008 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 40.49%
    St Pauli 35.28%
    Draw 24.22%
FreiburgDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.124 0.12)
1-0 @ 7.74% (0.181 0.18)
2-0 @ 6.04% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.14 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.28% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.23% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.061 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.22%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.139 -0.14)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.16% (-0.147 -0.15)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.03% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.28%

How you voted: Freiburg vs St Pauli

Freiburg
89.7%
Draw
7.7%
St Pauli
2.6%
39
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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