Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 7, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida
Audax3 - 2Catolica
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Audax Italiano and Universidad Catolica.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Audax Italiano win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Universidad Catolica had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Audax Italiano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Universidad Catolica win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Audax Italiano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Audax Italiano | Draw | Universidad Catolica |
44.71% ( 0.31) | 24.92% ( -0.19) | 30.37% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 56.14% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
