MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 22:06:04| >> :60:6:6:
Medellin
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 24, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
2 - 1
Nacional

Ibarguen (25'), Quinones (68')
Marulanda (6'), Torres (38')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodriguez (12')
Candido (24'), Zabala (80'), Pereiro (90')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Medellin 4-2 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 4 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Nacional

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Torque 0-4 Nacional
Sunday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawNacional
45.29% (0.014000000000003 0.01) 26.45% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 28.26% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.05% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)54.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.68% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.013000000000005 0.01)23.89% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.020000000000003 0.02)58.1% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.76% (0.0020000000000095 0)34.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.06% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.93% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 45.29%
    Nacional 28.26%
    Draw 26.45%
Independiente MedellinDrawNacional
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.53% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 45.29%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.45%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 11pm
Group Stage
Nacional
2-1
Medellin
Pereiro (37'), Noguera (90+6')
Noguera (1'), Pereiro (38'), Rodriguez (59'), Montiel (80'), Candido (82')
Pons (79')
Moreno (45+2'), Cambindo (63'), Torres (69'), Cadavid (90'), Ricaurte (90+11'), Pardo (90+12'), Pons (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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