Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 7, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini
Defensor2 - 2Nacional
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 0-4 Defensor
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, April 30 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Nacional
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Nacional |
27.04% ( 0.02) | 25.68% ( -0.07) | 47.28% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% ( 0.3) | 51.95% ( -0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% ( 0.26) | 73.69% ( -0.25) |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.05% ( 0.18) | 33.95% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.37% ( 0.19) | 70.63% ( -0.18) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.03% ( 0.15) | 21.97% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.74% ( 0.23) | 55.27% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Defensor Sporting 27.04%
Nacional 47.28%
Draw 25.68%
Defensor Sporting | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 27.04% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 47.28% |
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Mar 8, 2021 12.45am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-17 10:49:27
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PenarolPenarol | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 19 | 32 |
2 | NacionalNacional | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 25 |
3 | ProgresoProgreso | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 24 |
4 | Defensor SportingDefensor | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 22 |
5 | Boston RiverBoston River | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 21 |
6 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
7 | LiverpoolLiverpool | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Racing de MontevideoRacing | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 14 |
10 | River PlateRiver Plate | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
11 | DanubioDanubio | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 13 |
12 | Montevideo WanderersWanderers | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 12 |
13 | CerroCerro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
14 | Rampla JuniorsRampla | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
15 | Miramar Misiones | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
16 | FenixFenix | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table |
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