MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 10:55:22| >> :60:103:103:
CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Fluminense

LDU Quito
1 - 0
Fluminense

Arce (90+2')
Piovi (47'), Gabbarini (79'), Arce (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diniz (17'), Martinelli (43'), Guga (74')
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between LDU Quito and Fluminense.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Fluminense
Friday, December 22 at 6pm in Club World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 40%. A win for LDU Quito had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest LDU Quito win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawFluminense
34.09% (-8.013 -8.01) 25.91% (0.36 0.36) 40% (7.656 7.66)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.688 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.95% (-1.111 -1.11)50.04% (1.114 1.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.98% (-1 -1)72.02% (1 1)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.98% (-4.918 -4.92)28.02% (4.919 4.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.33% (-6.715 -6.72)63.67% (6.717 6.72)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (3.924 3.92)24.66% (-3.922 -3.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (5.196 5.2)59.18% (-5.194 -5.19)
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 34.09%
    Fluminense 40%
    Draw 25.91%
LDU QuitoDrawFluminense
1-0 @ 8.79% (-0.884 -0.88)
2-1 @ 7.83% (-1.049 -1.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-1.496 -1.5)
3-1 @ 3.32% (-1.015 -1.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (-1.09 -1.09)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.391 -0.39)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.09%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.91% (0.307 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 9.67% (1.404 1.4)
1-2 @ 8.62% (1.027 1.03)
0-2 @ 6.77% (1.593 1.59)
1-3 @ 4.02% (0.853 0.85)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.999 1)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.236 0.24)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.415 0.42)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.429 0.43)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 40%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!