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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Ipswich
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Luongo (30')
Luongo (49'), Travis (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Latte Lath (20')
Howson (57'), Ayling (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 0-0 Watford
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Middlesbrough
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Ipswich Town 2-1 Middlesbrough

With Middlesbrough having put together a prolonged unbeaten run, they will fancy their chances of getting the better of a team under increasing pressure. However, we are backing the home side to get back on track in what could turn into a scrappy contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 55.35%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.8%) and 3-1 (6.73%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
55.35% (-0.292 -0.29) 20.59% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 24.06% (0.239 0.24)
Both teams to score 66.1% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.54% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)31.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.07% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)52.93% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.45% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)11.55% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.51% (-0.179 -0.18)36.48% (0.182 0.18)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (0.17399999999999 0.17)25.26% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.98% (0.238 0.24)60.02% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 55.35%
    Middlesbrough 24.06%
    Draw 20.59%
Ipswich TownDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 4.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 8.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.59%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.041 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.02% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.033 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.06%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Middlesbrough

Ipswich Town
80.8%
Draw
11.5%
Middlesbrough
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 20
Middlesbrough
0-2
Ipswich

Crooks (51')
Chaplin (36'), Hutchinson (67')
Woolfenden (63'), Morsy (90+5'), Ball (90')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 25
Middlesbrough
2-0
Ipswich
Hugill (37' pen.), Tavernier (72')
Tavernier (65')

Chalobah (19'), Downes (40')
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ipswich
0-2
Middlesbrough
Besic (12'), Downing (16')
May 6, 2018 12.30pm
Ipswich
2-2
Middlesbrough
Sears (8'), Waghorn (83' pen.)
Skuse (12'), Nydam (45'), Sears (45')
Downing (71'), Bamford (90')
Gibson (90')
Dec 9, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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