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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Cardiff


Bielik (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowler (65')
Ng (47'), Bowler (58'), Ralls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-0 Cardiff City

Despite the heartbreaking nature of the defeat at Leicester, there were plenty of positives to take from the performance for Birmingham, who simply need to pick up points at St Andrew's over the next week. Cardiff's season is all but over, and we can envisage the visitors producing another limp performance on Wednesday night to continue their poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
43.04% (-0.178 -0.18) 26.16% (0.13 0.13) 30.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.34% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.506 -0.51)51.98% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.441 -0.44)73.72% (0.43899999999999 0.44)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.31 -0.31)23.98% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.444 -0.44)58.22% (0.443 0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)31.15% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.262 -0.26)67.48% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.03%
    Cardiff City 30.81%
    Draw 26.16%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
55.8%
Draw
17.4%
Cardiff City
26.7%
86
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cardiff
0-1
Birmingham

Meite (55')
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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