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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Queens Park Rangers | 2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Cardiff City | 2 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Millwall | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Sunderland | 2 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Birmingham City | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5 | Hull City | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cardiff City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cardiff City.
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
41.16% ( -0.04) | 27.74% ( 0.03) | 31.1% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.68% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42% ( -0.11) | 58% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.31% ( -0.09) | 78.69% ( 0.09) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.3% ( -0.07) | 27.7% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.74% ( -0.1) | 63.26% ( 0.1) |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.95% ( -0.05) | 34.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.26% ( -0.05) | 70.74% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.77% 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.15% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 31.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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