Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Inver Park
We say: Larne 0-1 HJK Helsinki (HJK Helsinki to win 2-0 on aggregate)
The hosts were outplayed for the most part in the first leg, and while they should put on a better showing at home, it seems unlikely that they will be able to overturn this tie.
The visitors will prioritse keeping a clean sheet here, and if they get an early goal, we can see them sitting back and holding on to their lead to take their place in the next round.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 42.19% . A win for Larne had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (8.22%) . The likeliest Larne win was 1-0 (10.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%) .
Result Larne Draw HJK Helsinki 29.27% ( 0) 28.54% ( -0) 42.19% ( -0)
Both teams to score 44.73% ( 0)
38.66% ( 0) 61.33% ( -0)
18.76% ( 0) 81.24% ( -0)
62.76% ( 0) 37.24% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.98% ( 0) 74.02% ( -0)
71.26% ( -0) 28.73% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 35.43% ( -0) 64.57%
Larne 29.26%
HJK Helsinki 42.19%
Draw 28.53%
Larne Draw HJK Helsinki 1-0 @ 10.56% 2-1 @ 6.51% 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.72% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.77% Total : 29.26% 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.53% 0-1 @ 13.34% 0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-3 @ 3.46% 1-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.6% Total : 42.19%
How you voted: Larne vs HJK Helsinki
55
rhs 2.0
Premier League La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 Primeira Liga Eredivisie Turkish Super Lig Champions League Europa League Europa Conference League Championship League One League Two FA Cup EFL Cup EFL Trophy National League National League Playoffs National League North National League South Women's FA Cup Women's Super League Premier League 2 - Div 1 Premier League 2 - Div 2 Scottish Premiership Scottish Cup Scottish League Cup Scottish Championship Scottish League One Scottish League Two NIFL Premiership Welsh Premier League League of Ireland Premier Copa del Rey Coppa Italia DFB-Pokal KNVB Beker Taca de Portugal Turkish Cup Women's Champions League Greek Superleague Belgian Pro League Swiss Super League Austrian Bundesliga Polish Ekstraklasa Ukrainian Premier League Russian Premier League Norwegian Eliteserien Swedish Allsvenskan Danish Superliga Finnish Veikkausliiga Hungarian NB I Croatian 1. HNL Romanian SuperLiga Czech Liga Slovenian PrvaLiga Slovak First Football League Belarusian Premier League Champions League Qualifying Europa League Qualifying Major League Soccer Brasileiro Argentine Primera Division Liga MX Uruguayan Primera Division Israeli Premier League Saudi Pro League Qatar Stars League Australian A-League Chinese Super League J1 League Copa Libertadores Copa Sudamericana AFC Champions League CONCACAF Champions League Club World Cup Segunda Division Serie B 2.Bundesliga Ligue 2 Eerste Divisie Euro Champ Qualifying Women's World Cup Nations League World Cup European Championship Copa America Africa Cup of Nations CONCACAF Gold Cup Confederations Cup CONCACAF Nations League World Cup Qualifying - Europe World Cup Qualifying - South America World Cup Qualifying - Africa World Cup Qualifying - Asia World Cup Qualifying - North Central America World Cup Qualifying - Oceania African Nations Championship Olympic Games Men's Football Olympic Games Women's Football Women's European Championship SheBelieves Cup Arnold Clark Cup Under-20s World Cup European Under-21s Championship European Under-19s Championship European Under-17s Championship
1
Man Utd 'want teenage midfielder as Casemiro replacement'
2
Granada vs. Real Madrid - prediction, team news, lineups
3
Ross County vs. Motherwell - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Forest looking to end 45-year streak against Chelsea
5
Arsenal 'pushing to agree new deal with 29-goal striker'
6
Man Utd handed huge injury boost ahead of Arsenal showdown
7
Nott'm Forest vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups
8
Chelsea 'agree personal terms with 17-year-old Brazilian'
9
Everton vs. Sheff Utd - prediction, team news, lineups
10
West Ham vs. Luton - prediction, team news, lineups