MX23RW : Friday, April 26 22:59:09| >> :120:6454:6454:
[monks data]
Burnley logo
Premier League | Gameweek 11
Dec 5, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
Turf Moor
Everton logo

Burnley
1 - 1
Everton

Brady (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Preview: Burnley vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Burnley and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burnley and Everton will both be looking to bounce back from disappointing defeats last time out when they meet at Turf Moor on Saturday lunchtime.

The Clarets were thrashed 5-0 by Manchester City in their most recent outing, while Everton went down 1-0 at home to Leeds United.

Eleven points separate the sides heading into this opening Premier League fixture of the weekend, with the Toffees in eighth and their opponents in the bottom three.


Match preview

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured in November 2020© Reuters

In what has been a year of uncertainty, there was almost a sense of inevitability about the outcome of Burnley's trip to Man City last weekend.

Riyad Mahrez scored a hat-trick to help inflict a fourth successive 5-0 defeat on Sean Dyche's side at the Etihad Stadium in the most one-sided of games.

Dyche tried something different in terms of tactics, but any momentum built from the previous week's 1-0 home win over Crystal Palace may well have been lost.

That was the Clarets' only win of the campaign so far and they are now seeking consecutive Premier League home victories for the first time since October 2019.

The second win in that sequence came against Everton, making it four wins in six home top-flight meetings with the Toffees.

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on November22, 2020© Reuters

Scoring has been a major issue for the home side, with no team netting fewer than their four goals, but Everton are not exactly known for their strong defensive record.

Since shutting out Tottenham Hotspur on the opening weekend, Carlo Ancelotti's charges have conceded in nine Premier League games running - only Sheffield United (13) are on a longer run without a clean sheet.

The Toffees have lost four of their last five games heading into this one, the exception being a tight 3-2 win over Fulham in their most recent away outing.

Going back into last season, though, Everton have won four of their last six matches on their travels. Burnley, by comparison, have four home wins in their last 13 outings, losing four in a row before their win over Palace.

Burnley Premier League form: DLLDWL

Everton Premier League form: DLLLWL


Team News

Burnley's Nick Pope in action against Sheffield United in the Premier League on July 5, 2020© Reuters

Bailey Peacock-Farrell became just the third goalkeeper to concede five or more on his Premier League debut last weekend, but Burnley are hopeful of having Nick Pope back from a head injury.

Phil Bardsley and Josh Brownhill also missed the trip to the Etihad Stadium but are making good progress in their recoveries, while Robbie Brady and Dale Stephens are two other fitness doubts.

Dyche turned to Josh Benson against City and the 20-year-old midfielder may have to fill in again alongside Ashley Westwood if the injuries do not clear up.

As for Everton, they will be without the influential Lucas Digne for a few months, while fellow full-back Seamus Coleman and midfielder Jean-Philippe Gbamin are also on the sidelines.

Ancelotti persisted with a five-man defence against Leeds, but Tom Davies did not look comfortable as a right wing-back and a tactical rethink may be required.

The experienced Italian coach also has a big call to make in the heart of his backline, where Mason Holgate was preferred to Yerry Mina last weekend.

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Lowton, Tarkowski, Mee, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Westwood, Benson; McNeil; Rodriguez, Wood

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Godfrey, Mina, Keane; Davies, Allan, Doucoure, Iwobi; Rodriguez, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison


SM words green background

We say: Burnley 1-2 Everton

Everton have badly lost their way after a really strong start to the season and have an extremely tough run of games to come after this trip to Turf Moor.

If not quite must win, anything less than three points in Lancashire will be considered a poor result for the Toffees, who have aspirations of challenging for a European spot.

None of the 12 Premier League games between Burnley and Everton has been drawn - the Clarets winning five to the Toffees' seven - and we are going with an away win this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


ID:424875: cacheID:424875:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:9707:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 54.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-0 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured in November 2020
Read Next:
Sean Dyche insists Manchester City are still "a proper outfit" despite struggles
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1pm
Bublik
Carballes Baena
Result
Marozsan
Cerundolo
2 65
6 77
Result
Musetti
Seyboth Wild
4 4
6 6
Result
Paul
Klein
65 6 6
77 1 4
Result
Rublev
Bagnis
6 6
1 4
Result
Andreeva
Noskova
4 6 6
6 3 3
Result
Bronzetti
Rybakina
4 3
6 6
Result
Garcia
Wang
6 6
1 4
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Saville
6 6
1 4
Result
Altmaier
Fils
6 6
2 3
Result
Martin Etcheverry
Shapovalov
63 3
77 6
Result
Alexandrova
Krueger
3 3
6 6
Result
Bucsa
Kasatkina
7 65 3
5 77 6
Result
Dolehide
Kalinina
66 6 6
78 2 3
Result
Jimenez Kasintseva
Paolini
0 1
6 6
Result
Linette
Sabalenka
4 6 3
6 3 6
Result
Baez
Van Assche
6 62 6
4 77 3
Result
Hurkacz
Draper
6 7
1 5
Result
Bejlek
Kalinskaya
6 6
1 4
Result
Cristian
Krejcikova
2 6 6
6 0 2
Result
Kostyuk
Sherif
2 5
6 7
Result
Zheng
Putintseva
5 0
7 2
(ret.)
Result
Humbert
Van De Zandschulp
6 6
3 3
Result
Darderi
Fritz
61 4
77 6
Result
Boulter
Montgomery
6 3 4
1 6 6
Result
Shevchenko
Alcaraz
2 1
6 6
Result
Vondrousova
Rogers
6 6
1 3
Result
Griekspoor
Daniel
4 6 6
6 3 4
Result
Munar
Struff
1 5
6 7
Result
Navone
Rune
7 62 4
5 77 6
Result
Coric
Zverev
3 2
6 6
8.30pm
Collins
Danilovic
Result
Shang
Davidovich Fokina
5 3
7 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool34228475344174
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!