Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stuttgart2 - 1Borussia M'bach
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Stuttgart
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, April 21 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, April 23 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach
Although Gladbach clearly possess some talented players at their disposal, Stuttgart could hardly have asked for a more winnable fixture as they desperately seek to avoid finishing in the bottom three positions. Die Fohlen have been wretched on the road all season long and have very little beyond personal pride to play for at this stage of the season, so we expect Hoeness's improved outfit to claim all three points ahead of their cup semi-final tie in midweek. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 56%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Stuttgart in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
56% ( 0.35) | 21.69% ( -0.05) | 22.31% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.6% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
