MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 17:44:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
 
Dortmund logo

Stuttgart
3 - 3
Dortmund

Coulibaly (78'), Vagnomann (84'), Wamangituka (90+7')
Endo (35'), Mavropanos (35'), Tomas (88'), Wamangituka (90+8')
Mavropanos (39')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Haller (26'), Malen (33'), Reyna (90+2')
Bellingham (57'), Reus (71'), Reyna (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Stuttgart 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Despite fighting against relegation, Stuttgart have very rarely been soundly beaten all season long, and we do not expect that to be any different on Saturday. However, Dortmund have made a habit of scoring late winners under Terzic throughout the campaign, and we can envisage another one this weekend as they desperately attempt to keep pace with Bayern at the top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 44.59%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.03%) and 0-2 (5.58%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
33.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 22.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 44.59% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 66.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.032000000000011 0.03)33.51% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.31% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.25% (0.01100000000001 0.01)20.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)53.38% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.3% (0.018000000000001 0.02)15.7% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.22% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 33.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 44.59%
    Draw 22.34%
StuttgartDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 5.12% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 33.07%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.34%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-3 @ 4.26% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
3-4 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 44.59%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Dortmund

Stuttgart
2.0%
Draw
7.8%
Borussia Dortmund
90.2%
102
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Dortmund
5-0
Stuttgart
Bellingham (2', 53'), Sule (13'), Reyna (44'), Moukoko (72')
Ozcan (45+1')
Apr 8, 2022 7.30pm
Stuttgart
0-2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')
Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Dortmund
2-1
Stuttgart
Malen (56'), Reus (85')
Massimo (63')
Coulibaly (35'), Anton (48')
Apr 10, 2021 5.30pm
Stuttgart
2-3
Dortmund
Kalajdzic (17'), Didavi (78')
Sosa (21'), Forster (28'), Kempf (50'), Anton (82')
Bellingham (47'), Reus (52'), Knauff (80')
Hummels (31'), Hitz (90+2')
Dec 12, 2020 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-5
Stuttgart
Reyna (39')
Can (26'), Morey (66')
Wamangituka (26' pen., 53'), Forster (60'), Coulibaly (63'), Gonzalez (90+1')
Mavropanos (28'), Endo (40'), Wamangituka (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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