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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35.66% ( -2.22) | 23.77% ( -0.15) | 40.57% ( 2.37) |
Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.07% ( 0.53) | 39.93% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.71% ( 0.55) | 62.29% ( -0.55) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% ( -0.89) | 22.37% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% ( -1.36) | 55.86% ( 1.36) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.03% ( 1.35) | 19.97% ( -1.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.87% ( 2.13) | 52.13% ( -2.13) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.46% Total : 35.66% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.3) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.17) Other @ 3.1% Total : 40.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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