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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 54.35%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 23.03% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
54.35% ( -0.08) | 22.62% ( -0.01) | 23.03% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.62% ( 0.12) | 42.37% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.22% ( 0.12) | 64.78% ( -0.11) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% ( 0.01) | 15.54% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% ( 0.02) | 44.46% ( -0.02) |
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.87% ( 0.14) | 32.13% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.39% ( 0.16) | 68.6% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Eintracht Frankfurt |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.1% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.35% | 1-1 @ 10.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 23.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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