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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
71.13% | 17.04% | 11.83% |
Both teams to score 52.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.3% | 36.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.13% | 58.87% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.86% | 9.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69% | 31% |
Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.08% | 41.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.64% | 78.36% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
2-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 9.16% 3-0 @ 8.75% 3-1 @ 7.61% 4-0 @ 5.23% 4-1 @ 4.55% 3-2 @ 3.31% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 2.18% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.41% Total : 71.13% | 1-1 @ 7.97% 2-2 @ 4.15% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.04% | 1-2 @ 3.46% 0-1 @ 3.33% 0-2 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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