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[monks data]
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
Jun 27, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Volkswagen Arena
Bayern logo

Wolfsburg
0 - 4
Bayern


Weghorst (15'), Guilavogui (66')
Guilavogui (71')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coman (4'), Cuisance (37'), Lewandowski (72' pen.), Muller (79')

Preview: Wolfsburg vs. Bayern Munich - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Bayern Munich, including team news and predicted lineups.

Bayern Munich conclude their successful 2019-20 Bundesliga campaign with a trip to sixth-place Wolfsburg on Saturday afternoon.

Both teams have achieved their aim for the season, with Bayern holding off Borussia Dortmund to seal top spot and Wolfsburg doing enough to qualify for the Europa League.


Match preview

Bayern Munich players celebrate scoring against Eintracht Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal semi-finals on June10, 2020© Reuters

Finishing top of the Bundesliga may seem like a formality for Bayern now - this was their eighth successive title, after all - but the Bavarian giants have not always had things their own way this term.

Indeed, it is easy to forget now following Hansi Flick's hugely successful spell in charge that Bayern were as low as fifth in mid-December, their title prospects seemingly in tatters.

Since losing 2-1 to Borussia Monchengladbach on December 7, however, the champions have embarked on a 19-match unbeaten run in the top flight, dropping points in just one of those games.

Flick has got the best out of his players, especially in an attacking sense, with Niko Kovac's disastrous reign now a thing of the past.

With the title being wrapped up last week, Bayern were able to celebrate at the Allianz Arena on Saturday with a 3-1 victory over Freiburg.

Focus will soon switch to their upcoming DFB-Pokal final showdown with Bayer Leverkusen, as well as the resumption of the Champions League in August, but first Flick will want to end the elongated Bundesliga campaign on a high.

Wolfsburg players celebrate scoring against Bayer Leverkusen on May 26, 2020© Reuters

Wolfsburg will themselves be in good spirits for Saturday's concluding league fixture, having cemented a place in the top six with a 4-1 win over struggling Schalke 04 last weekend.

The Wolves have won four, drawn one and lost three of their eight matches since German football resumed last month, seeing them climb from seventh to their current position of sixth.

In fact, the hosts have already taken one more point in the second half of the season compared to the same fixtures in the first half. Not since 2014-15 have they done better in the second half of a Bundesliga campaign.

They still have something to play for this weekend as they need to match or between Hoffenheim's result at Dortmund to qualify automatically for the Europa League, rather than going through to prolonged qualifying process.

Their recent momentum could come in handy when they take on Shakhtar Donetsk in the second leg of their Europa League last-16 tie in August, trailing 2-1 in that one from March's home leg.

Like opponents Bayern, though, Oliver Glasner's side will have no intention of taking their eye off the ball on Saturday.

Wolfsburg have won their last six final-day league matches, including an 8-1 win over Augsburg last season, but they have lost more games (35) and conceded more goals (111) in the Bundesliga against Bayern than they have versus any other team.

Wolfsburg's Bundesliga form: WLWDLW

Bayern's Bundesliga form: WWWWWW


Team News

Robert Lewandowski celebrates scoring for Bayern Munich on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Flick rotated his frontline for the win over Freiburg, handing starts to Michael Cuisance and reserve player Sarpreet Singh.

Unsurprisingly, it was still star man Robert Lewandowski who stole the headlines with a couple of first-half goals to take his league tally to 33 for the season.

The Poland international has scored 20 goals in 18 Bundesliga games against Wolfsburg - only Gerd Muller has netted more goals against one side in the competition's history.

Elsewhere, Manuel Neuer is expected to return after being left out last weekend, while Alphonso Davies and Serge Gnabry are back from suspension.

As for Wolfsburg, they have an in-form player of their own to call upon on Saturday in Wout Weghorst, who has scored five goals in his last four appearances.

Yannick Gerhardt is in line for a recall, possibly at the expense of Daniel Ginczek, but Glasner is otherwise expected to keep the changes to a minimum.

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Pongracic, Brooks, Roussillon; Gerhardt, Arnold; Steffen, Schlager, Brekalo; Weghorst

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Odriozola, Boateng, Alaba, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Gnabry, Muller, Coman; Lewandowski


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Wolfsburg 0-1 Bayern Munich

Wolfsburg have more to play for than Bayern on the face of it, requiring a positive result to automatically qualify for the Europa League. Even accounting for the likely changes the visitors make, they should still have enough quality to keep their winning run going.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 14.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.04%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 2-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.


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Bayern boss Hansi Flick on May 30, 2020
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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