Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 5pm UK
Amadou Gon Coulibaly Stadium
We said: South Africa 1-1 Tunisia
While Tunisia have never lost to South Africa in the past (W2 D1 L0), they have been a long way from their best in this competition. Bafana Bafana, on the other hand, made a huge improvement in their last match from their first and we fancy them to get something from this one, which will be enough to take them to the knockout rounds.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Africa win with a probability of 51.77% . A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Tunisia had a probability of 20.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.12% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.19%) and 2-1 (8.56%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Tunisia win it was 0-1 (8.87%) . The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result South Africa Draw Tunisia 51.77% ( -0.74) 27.62% ( 0.43) 20.61% ( 0.31)
Both teams to score 40.11% ( -0.62)
36.48% ( -1.02) 63.52% ( 1.02)
17.15% ( -0.74) 82.84% ( 0.74)
75.07% ( -0.8) 24.93% ( 0.79)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.44% ( -1.11) 59.56% ( 1.11)
53.43% ( -0.26) 46.56% ( 0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 17.84% ( -0.2) 82.15% ( 0.2)
South Africa 51.76%
Tunisia 20.61%
Draw 27.61%
South Africa Draw Tunisia 1-0 @ 16.12% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.04% Total : 51.76% 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.41% Total : 27.61% 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.61%
How you voted: South Africa vs Tunisia
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