Africa Cup of Nations | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Stade de la Réunification
Senegal3 - 1Eq Guinea
We said: Senegal 2-0 Equatorial Guinea
Senegal have been impenetrable so far and have stamped their name as genuine title contenders. Equatorial Guinea, meanwhile, have proven they are no walkover, beating both Algeria and Mali en route to the last eight. While we expect another thrilling contest, we are backing the Lions of Teranga to come away with the win given the gulf in class and experience between the two sides. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Equatorial Guinea had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Equatorial Guinea win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
Result | ||
Senegal | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
58.09% | 25.21% | 16.71% |
Both teams to score 40.21% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.86% | 60.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.66% | 80.34% |
Senegal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.23% | 20.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.59% | 53.41% |
Equatorial Guinea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.75% | 49.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.87% | 84.13% |
Score Analysis |
Senegal 58.08%
Equatorial Guinea 16.71%
Draw 25.19%
Senegal | Draw | Equatorial Guinea |
1-0 @ 16.07% 2-0 @ 12.63% 2-1 @ 8.95% 3-0 @ 6.62% 3-1 @ 4.69% 4-0 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.66% Other @ 3.02% Total : 58.08% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 3.17% Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 7.25% 1-2 @ 4.03% 0-2 @ 2.57% 1-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.71% |
How you voted: Senegal vs Eq Guinea
Senegal
84.9%Draw
8.6%Equatorial Guinea
6.5%93
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-28 21:11:56
FT
Argentinos Jrs
0-0
Velez Sarsfield
Pens.
(2-4)
Result
Baez
Fritz
Fritz
2 3
6 6
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
Struff
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
Paolini
3 2
6 6
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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