Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 14, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
Pires da Mata (51')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
We said: Sao Tome & Principe 0-2 Guinea-Bissau
Neither team is in particularly good form heading into this one, but Guinea-Bissau will back themselves to triumph against a Sao Tome side who have been found wanting at both ends of the pitch in recent games. We are backing the visitors to carry the day here in a relatively comfortable manner.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Sao Tome & Principe win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Guinea-Bissau in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Guinea-Bissau.
| Result |
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Guinea-Bissau |
26.84% ( 0.66) | 26.25% ( -0.09) | 46.91% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( 0.78) |
