Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sao Tome0 - 2Sierra Leone
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Sao Tome & Principe and Sierra Leone.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Sao Tome
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-2 Sao Tome
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Wednesday, March 22 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sierra Leone | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sierra Leone win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe had a probability of 13.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sierra Leone win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.75%) and 1-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it was 1-0 (5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sierra Leone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sao Tome & Principe | Draw | Sierra Leone |
13.5% ( -2.6) | 20.7% ( -2.22) | 65.8% ( 4.81) |
| Both teams to score 45.38% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
