MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 19:48:24| >> :600:23613090:23613090:
[monks data]
Danish Superliga | Gameweek 25
Jun 1, 2020 at 7pm UK
Ceres Park

Aarhus
1 - 0
Odense

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lund (60')

Preview: Aarhus vs. Odense - prediction, form guide, head to head

Sports Mole previews Monday's Danish top-flight clash between Aarhus and Odense, including predictions, form guide and head-to-head records.

Aarhus take on Odense at Ceres Park on Monday requiring just a point to make certain of a place in the Danish Superliga's championship round.

The fourth-place Whites marked their return to action following a two-month hiatus with a late draw against Randers, while Odense are down in ninth ahead of their first game back.


Match preview

Aarhus in action against Randers in the Danish Superliga's first game back on May 28, 2020© Reuters

Aarhus needed a last-gasp goal from Patrick Mortensen to rescue their 1-1 draw on Thursday in a match that made headlines across the world.

In the absence of any spectators owing to the coronavirus pandemic, the club constructed a giant electronic wall around the pitch which contained the faces of thousands of fans.

Supporters watched on as Mortensen struck in added time to edge their side a step closer to a top-six finish, with a draw on Monday enough to achieve their aim.

With league leaders Midtjylland 21 points better off, though, the best David Nielsen's side can hope for in the championship round is finishing third to secure a Europa League playoff spot.

Odense also have plenty still to play for as the regular season enters its final two matches. They are seven points adrift of the top six, however, and will therefore be part of the relegation round.

The Striped will still have a chance to qualify for the Europa League should they finish best of the rest in the bottom half, so Jakob Michelsen will be desperate to get some points on the board on Monday.

Whereas Aarhus have already got one 90-minute runout under their belt, Odense have not been in action since a 1-1 draw with SonderjyskE on March 8.

That was their third league draw in a row in a nine-match winless run that stretches back to early November.

From being as high as fourth after the 16th round of fixtures, Odense have slipped all the way down to ninth and desperately need to stop the rot.

Achieving that on Monday will be a big ask, however, as Aarhus are unbeaten in five at home - taking nine points from 15 - while Odense have not won any of their last six on their travels.

Aarhus' Superliga form: DWWDLD

Odense's Superliga form: DLLDDD


Head To Head

Aarhus have lost only one of the last eight meetings between the sides, winning both of the last two.

The Whites were 1-0 winners when the sides last faced off, courtesy of a late Jakob Ankersen goal in their Danish Cup round-of-16 tie seven months ago.


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Aarhus 2-0 Odense

Odense are at a disadvantage as this is their first game back following a near three-month break. Aarhus were fortunate to avoid defeat last time out, but they are unbeaten in five at home and are the clear favourites here.



ID:400892: cacheID:400892:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:restore:5225:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aarhus win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Odense had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aarhus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Odense win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aarhus in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Restore Data
Share this article now:
A general shot of a Premier League football ahead of the Premier League clash between Everton and West Ham United at Goodison Park on October 30, 2016
Read Next:
Wolves close to signing Danish keeper?
>
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1Brondby422051252655
2FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland411249301952
3Nordsjaelland440048262249
4Copenhagen411251292249
5AarhusAarhus40223233-138
6SilkeborgSilkeborg40223138-729
Relegation Round
1RandersRanders43103643-733
2Viborg FFViborg43103341-833
3OdenseOdense40222838-1026
4Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub50323249-1726
5Vejle51222432-824
6Hvidovre41122253-3115
 
Regular Season
1FC MidtjyllandMidtjylland22153443232048
2Brondby22145344202447
3Copenhagen22143545232245
4Nordsjaelland22107535211437
5AarhusAarhus229942621536
6SilkeborgSilkeborg2283112832-427
7OdenseOdense2266102532-724
8Lyngby BoldklubLyngby Boldklub2265112739-1223
9Viborg FFViborg2265112437-1323
10RandersRanders225892337-1423
11Vejle2247111926-719
12Hvidovre2225151745-2811


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!