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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 17, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Whitten Oval
Wellington Phoenix

Western Utd
0 - 3
Wellington


Prijovic (9'), Diamanti (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sasse (19'), Kraev (58'), Zawada (64' pen.)
Elliot (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 2-3 Adelaide United
Saturday, February 11 at 6am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 2-1 Wellington
Sunday, February 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-1 Wellington Phoenix

 Neither of these two teams are in particularly strong form right now, and simply avoiding defeat is likely something that they will be hoping for. With that in mind, it would not be a surprise to see the two teams battle out a draw here to try and steady their seasons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
36.56% (0.63 0.63) 25.25% (-0.235 -0.23) 38.19% (-0.395 -0.4)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.868 0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.18% (1.099 1.1)46.82% (-1.099 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (1.021 1.02)69.07% (-1.02 -1.02)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (0.864 0.86)25.04% (-0.866 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (1.184 1.18)59.71% (-1.184 -1.18)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (0.288 0.29)24.16% (-0.288 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.407 0.41)58.47% (-0.408 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Western United 36.56%
    Wellington Phoenix 38.19%
    Draw 25.24%
Western UnitedDrawWellington Phoenix
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.178 -0.18)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.8% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.079 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 36.56%
1-1 @ 11.89% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.284 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.85% (0.12 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.328 -0.33)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.179 -0.18)
1-3 @ 4% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.079 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.19%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Wellington

Western United
34.1%
Draw
27.3%
Wellington Phoenix
38.6%
44
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2am
Wellington
2-3
Western Utd
Zawada (22'), Kraev (59')
Tratt (64'), Prijovic (84'), Diamanti (90+5')
Risdon (80')
May 14, 2022 10.45am
Western Utd
1-0
Wellington
Prijovic (10')
Imai (37'), Milanovic (87'), Bozinovski (90+3'), Pain (90+3')

Lewis (51')
Apr 9, 2022 5.05am
Western Utd
1-4
Wellington
Lustica (54')
Prijovic (34'), Lacroix (47')
Wootton (29'), Sotirio (32', 63'), Sandoval (45+2' pen.)
Sandoval (21'), Elliot (84')
Jan 21, 2022 8.45am
Wellington
2-1
Western Utd
Sandoval (16'), Hooper (35')
Lustica (90+4')
Lustica (6'), Risdon (57')
Imai (90+1')
May 22, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Western Utd
Lewis (38'), Piscopo (57'), Hemed (63')
Devlin (31'), Waine (90+2'), Lewis (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast27174649272255
2Wellington PhoenixWellington27158442261653
3Melbourne VictoryVictory271012543331042
4Sydney FCSydney FC271251052411141
5Macarthur2711884548-341
6Melbourne CityMelbourne City271161050381239
7Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney27114124448-437
8Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United2795135253-132
9Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar2786134255-1330
10Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets27610113947-828
11Western UnitedWestern Utd2775153655-1926
12Perth GloryPerth Glory2757154669-2322
> Australian A-League Full Table


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