Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.83%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
25.02% ( 0.52) | 22.14% ( 0.1) | 52.83% ( -0.63) |
Both teams to score 61.41% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.95% ( 0.05) | 38.05% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.68% ( 0.05) | 60.32% ( -0.05) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( 0.43) | 28.15% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( 0.54) | 63.83% ( -0.54) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.47% ( -0.19) | 14.53% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.45% ( -0.36) | 42.55% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 25.02% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.35% Total : 52.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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