Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.17%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
50.03% ( 2.63) | 21.05% ( -0.18) | 28.91% ( -2.45) |
Both teams to score 69.28% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.68% ( -0.63) | 29.32% ( 0.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.63% ( -0.77) | 50.37% ( 0.77) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.66% ( 0.57) | 12.34% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.84% ( 1.18) | 38.16% ( -1.18) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( -1.65) | 20.97% ( 1.65) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.27% ( -2.65) | 53.73% ( 2.65) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.44) 1-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.31) 3-2 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.38) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0.24) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.12) 4-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.03% | 1-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.21) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.21) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.7% Total : 28.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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