Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
42.01% ( -0.83) | 25.41% ( 0.27) | 32.58% ( 0.57) |
Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( -0.99) | 48.23% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( -0.91) | 70.38% ( 0.92) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.16% ( -0.82) | 22.84% ( 0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.43% ( -1.23) | 56.57% ( 1.24) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.92% ( -0.12) | 28.08% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( -0.16) | 63.74% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.44% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.01% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 32.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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