Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 47.15%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
