Ilves

4 - 1

Honka

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Honka had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Honka win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.