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World Cup
Yemen national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Adama Stadium
Sri Lanka national football team

Yemen
3 - 0
Sri Lanka

Maher (33'), Al-Gahwashi (67'), Al Matari (90+3')
Al Tairi (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rathnayake (14'), Fernando (23'), F. Kurukulasuriya N. (23')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Yemen and Sri Lanka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Yemen

Last Game: Palestine 3-0 Yemen
Tuesday, June 15 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Sri Lanka

Last Game: Sri Lanka 0-5 South Korea
Wednesday, June 9 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sri Lanka win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Yemen had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sri Lanka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Yemen win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
YemenDrawSri Lanka
36.43% (1.148 1.15) 25.78% (0.338 0.34) 37.8% (-1.481 -1.48)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-1.396 -1.4)49.21% (1.401 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-1.275 -1.28)71.27% (1.279 1.28)
Yemen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.007000000000005 0.01)26.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)61.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Sri Lanka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.54% (-1.428 -1.43)25.46% (1.431 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.71% (-1.996 -2)60.29% (2 2)
Score Analysis
    Yemen 36.43%
    Sri Lanka 37.8%
    Draw 25.77%
YemenDrawSri Lanka
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.502 0.5)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.134 0.13)
2-0 @ 5.98% (0.336 0.34)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.06 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.375 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.142 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 9.14% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-2 @ 6.25% (-0.159 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.262 -0.26)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.196 -0.2)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 37.8%

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