UAE are one of the nations expected to emerge from the shadows and take a qualifying spot given the World Cup's expansion, and they should get off to a comfortable start with a routine win here.
The two nations have only met once, and it came in a 1984 friendly which UAE won 11-0, and a similarly one-sided affair could be on the cards here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a United Arab Emirates win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nepal had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a United Arab Emirates win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.31%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Nepal win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that United Arab Emirates would win this match.
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