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World Cup
Pakistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Nov 21, 2023 at 9am UK
Jinnah Sports Stadium
Tajikistan national football team

Pakistan
1 - 6
Tajikistan

Nabi (21')
Ghazi (60')
FT(HT: 1-4)
Kamolov (9', 66'), Soirov (13'), Umarbaev (26'), Panshanbe (45'), Samiev (90+1')
Umarbaev (4'), Safarov (35'), Juraboev (78')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia Second Round clash between Pakistan and Tajikistan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pakistan

Last Game: Saudi Arabia 4-0 Pakistan
Thursday, November 16 at 4.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Tajikistan

Last Game: Tajikistan 1-1 Jordan
Thursday, November 16 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tajikistan win with a probability of 68.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Pakistan had a probability of 11.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tajikistan win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.83%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Pakistan win it was 1-0 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tajikistan would win this match.

Result
PakistanDrawTajikistan
11.5% (0.117 0.12) 19.84% (0.066000000000003 0.07) 68.66% (-0.18299999999999 -0.18)
Both teams to score 42.27% (0.169 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.9% (0.017000000000003 0.02)50.1% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.93% (0.016999999999999 0.02)72.07% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Pakistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.89% (0.223 0.22)51.11% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.58% (0.15 0.15)85.41% (-0.14999999999999 -0.15)
Tajikistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.45% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)13.55% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.36% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)40.63% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Pakistan 11.5%
    Tajikistan 68.65%
    Draw 19.84%
PakistanDrawTajikistan
1-0 @ 4.65% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 3.12% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 1.56% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 11.5%
1-1 @ 9.29% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.12% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 19.84%
0-1 @ 13.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 13.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 9.22% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
1-3 @ 6.19% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-4 @ 4.61% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 3.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.014 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.84% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 68.65%

How you voted: Pakistan vs Tajikistan

Pakistan
22.2%
Draw
11.1%
Tajikistan
66.7%
9
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