MX23RW : Tuesday, May 7 15:08:35| >> :600:352221:352221:
Mexico national football team
World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Jan 30, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Costa Rica national football team

Mexico
0 - 0
Costa Rica


Rodriguez (50'), Moreno (81')
FT

Martinez (13'), Fuller (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - North Central America clash between Mexico and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Mexico 1-0 Costa Rica

The Mexicans have been shaky and unconvincing, to say the least, but they still know how to get through those tough stretches, and they should be able to push numbers forward and eventually find a breakthrough against a Costa Rican side, who have rarely created much quality to worry other teams in the Octagon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 13.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.53%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.04%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawCosta Rica
59.76%26.81%13.43%
Both teams to score 31.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.33%68.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.63%86.38%
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.28%23.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.15%57.85%
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.79%59.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.76%90.24%
Score Analysis
    Mexico 59.75%
    Costa Rica 13.43%
    Draw 26.8%
MexicoDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 20.2%
2-0 @ 14.53%
2-1 @ 7.62%
3-0 @ 6.97%
3-1 @ 3.65%
4-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.32%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 59.75%
0-0 @ 14.04%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 2%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 7.36%
1-2 @ 2.78%
0-2 @ 1.93%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 13.43%

How you voted: Mexico vs Costa Rica

Mexico
76.5%
Draw
10.3%
Costa Rica
13.2%
68
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2021 12am
Third Round
Costa Rica
0-1
Mexico

Jose Blanco Mora (35'), Calvo (37'), Moya (42'), Guzman (68')
Pineda (45+1' pen.)
Gallardo (45+3'), Montes (73'), Alvarez (75')
Mar 30, 2021 9pm
Friendlies 1
Costa Rica
0-1
Mexico

Waston (18'), Cruz (20')
Lozano (89')
Oct 1, 2020 3am
Jun 30, 2019 2.30am
Quarter-Finals
Mexico
1-1
Costa Rica
Mexico win 5-4 on penalties
Oct 12, 2018 2.30am
International Friendlies
Mexico
3-2
Costa Rica
Guzman (33'), Martin (56'), Jimenez (71' pen.)
van Rankin (43'), Arteaga (92')
Campbell (29'), Ruiz (44' pen.)
Gamboa (12'), Guzman (70'), Duarte (86')
rhs 2.0
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