MX23RW : Wednesday, June 5 12:35:31| >> :120:22897:22897:
Malawi national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Sao Tome and Principe national football team

Malawi
vs.
Sao Tome

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Malawi and Sao Tome & Principe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Malawi
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: South Sudan 0-0 Sao Tome
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We say: Malawi 1-0 Sao Tome & Principe

Goals have been hard to come by for both teams of late, and we expect a low-scoring affair in this one. Having said that, we can also see Malawi just about doing enough to come away with maximum points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malawi win with a probability of 77.06%. A draw has a probability of 15.8% and a win for Sao Tome & Principe has a probability of 7.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (13.64%) and 3-0 (11.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.3%), while for a Sao Tome & Principe win it is 0-1 (3.2%).

Result
MalawiDrawSao Tome & Principe
77.06% (3.547 3.55) 15.84% (-2.644 -2.64) 7.09% (-0.904 -0.9)
Both teams to score 37.23% (3.361 3.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.46% (7.546 7.55)46.54% (-7.547 -7.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (6.696 6.7)68.81% (-6.697 -6.7)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.79% (3.106 3.11)10.21% (-3.106 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.49% (6.657 6.66)33.51% (-6.656 -6.66)
Sao Tome & Principe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.46% (2.392 2.39)58.54% (-2.392 -2.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.11% (1.232 1.23)89.88% (-1.232 -1.23)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 77.06%
    Sao Tome & Principe 7.09%
    Draw 15.84%
MalawiDrawSao Tome & Principe
2-0 @ 15.56% (-0.93 -0.93)
1-0 @ 13.64% (-2.72 -2.72)
3-0 @ 11.83% (0.75 0.75)
2-1 @ 8.33% (0.162 0.16)
4-0 @ 6.75% (1.164 1.16)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.846 0.85)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.847 0.85)
5-0 @ 3.08% (0.828 0.83)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.336 0.34)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.533 0.53)
6-0 @ 1.17% (0.414 0.41)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.282 0.28)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 77.06%
1-1 @ 7.3% (-0.801 -0.8)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-2.137 -2.14)
2-2 @ 2.23% (0.207 0.21)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 15.84%
0-1 @ 3.2% (-0.819 -0.82)
1-2 @ 1.96% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 7.09%

Who will win Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Malawi and Sao Tome?

Malawi
Draw
Sao Tome & Principe
Malawi
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sao Tome & Principe
0.0%
1
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!