Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Madagascar and Mali.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rwanda 2-0 Madagascar
Monday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Monday, March 25 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Madagascar vs. Comoros
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Friday, June 7 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Madagascar | 3 | 3 | 7 |
2 | Nigeria | 3 | 0 | 6 |
3 | Guinea | 3 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Burundi | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Mali vs. Ghana
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, June 6 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Mali | 3 | 2 | 5 |
2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Namibia | 3 | -3 | 4 |
4 | Tunisia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw has a probability of 27.9% and a win for Madagascar has a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 0-1 with a probability of 16.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.13%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Madagascar win it is 1-0 (9.03%).
Result | ||
Madagascar | Draw | Mali |
20.81% ( 2.17) | 27.85% ( -0.3) | 51.33% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 39.8% ( 3.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.94% ( 2.66) | 64.05% ( -2.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.78% ( 1.85) | 83.22% ( -1.85) |
Madagascar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.34% ( 4.11) | 46.66% ( -4.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.77% ( 2.96) | 82.23% ( -2.96) |
Mali Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.62% ( 0.35) | 25.37% ( -0.36) |