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World Cup
Indonesia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | First Round | 1st Leg
Oct 12, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadion Utama Gelora Bung Karno

Indonesia
6 - 0
Brunei

Drajad (7', 72', 90+2'), Ridho (12'), Sananta (63' pen., 67')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ali Rahman (64')
Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Asia First Round clash between Indonesia and Burnei.

Form, Standings, Stats

Indonesia

Last Game: Indonesia 2-0 Turkmenistan
Friday, September 8 at 1.30pm in International Friendlies

Burnei

Last Game: Hong Kong 10-0 Brunei
Monday, September 11 at 1pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Indonesia win with a probability of 92.19%. A draw had a probability of 5.9% and a win for Burnei had a probability of 1.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Indonesia win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.16%) and 2-0 (11.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.79%), while for a Burnei win it was 0-1 (0.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Indonesia would win this match.

Result
IndonesiaDrawBurnei
92.19% (0.14700000000001 0.15) 5.86% (-0.1079 -0.11) 1.94% (-0.039 -0.04)
Both teams to score 35.6% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.35% (0.367 0.37)22.65% (-0.368 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.21% (0.499 0.5)41.79% (-0.498 -0.5)
Indonesia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.33% (0.069000000000003 0.07)2.66% (-0.069 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.68% (0.249 0.25)12.32% (-0.25 -0.25)
Burnei Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
36.57% (0.015999999999998 0.02)63.43% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.7% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)92.3% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Indonesia 92.18%
    Burnei 1.94%
    Draw 5.86%
IndonesiaDrawBurnei
3-0 @ 13.41% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 12.16% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 11.1% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-0 @ 8.82% (0.084 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.13% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 5.54% (0.017 0.02)
6-0 @ 5.33% (0.088 0.09)
2-1 @ 5.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-1 @ 4.02% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
7-0 @ 2.76% (0.065 0.07)
6-1 @ 2.43% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
7-1 @ 1.26% (0.03 0.03)
8-0 @ 1.25% (0.039 0.04)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 92.18%
1-1 @ 2.79% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 1.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 5.86%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 1.94%

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