Man United may have experienced disappointment in the recent Manchester derby, but they have put together a four-game winning run on home turf, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim a narrow win on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 86.94%. A draw had a probability of 8.8% and a win for Everton Ladies had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 4-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Everton Ladies win it was 1-2 (1.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United Women would win this match.
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