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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
Apr 30, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Academy Stadium

Man City Women
7 - 2
Brighton Women

Shaw (3', 12', 57', 61'), Weir (16'), Greenwood (68'), Hemp (69')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Kaagman (21' pen.), Zigiotti-Olme (45')
Simpkins (90+2'), Simpkins (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Super League clash between Manchester City Women and Brighton & Hove Albion Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Manchester City Women 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Women

Man City are in ruthless form and no team is seemingly getting in their way on their route to conquer a top-three finish, and this weekend is likely to follow suit. Taylor's team have scored four goals in four of their last five outings in all competitions, which suggests that they will be on fire in front of goal, while Brighton have struggled in the attacking third this season, and the hosts are expected to limit the Seagulls to very few chances, anyway. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 92.82%. A draw had a probability of 5.6% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 1.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (13%) and 2-0 (12.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 0-1 (0.73%). The actual scoreline of 7-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
92.82%5.56%1.62%
Both teams to score 31.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.81%24.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.1%43.9%
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.24%2.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.3%12.7%
Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
32.21%67.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.85%94.15%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 92.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion Women 1.62%
    Draw 5.56%
Manchester City WomenDrawBrighton & Hove Albion Women
3-0 @ 14.48%
4-0 @ 13%
2-0 @ 12.09%
5-0 @ 9.34%
1-0 @ 6.74%
3-1 @ 5.63%
6-0 @ 5.59%
4-1 @ 5.06%
2-1 @ 4.7%
5-1 @ 3.63%
7-0 @ 2.87%
6-1 @ 2.17%
8-0 @ 1.29%
7-1 @ 1.12%
3-2 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 92.81%
1-1 @ 2.62%
0-0 @ 1.88%
2-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 5.56%
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 1.62%

Head to Head
Jan 9, 2022 12pm
Brighton Women
0-6
Man City Women

Carter (29'), Whelan (58')
Williams (48' og.), Hemp (50'), Stanway (51'), Coombs (55'), Raso (73'), Losada (76')
Jan 24, 2021 2pm
Brighton Women
1-7
Man City Women
Jarrett (69')
Weir (12', 16'), Houghton (41', 61'), White (58'), Kelly (73'), Beckie (77')
Sep 13, 2020 2pm
Dec 15, 2019 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
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