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Women's Super League | Gameweek 6
Nov 12, 2023 at 2pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol Women
0 - 2
Aston Villa


Jones (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Connolly (77' og.), Salmon (86')
Leon (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Bristol City Women and Aston Villa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City Women

All competitions
Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Bristol Women
Sunday, November 5 at 3pm in Women's Super League

Aston Villa Women

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-6 Chelsea Women
Saturday, November 4 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

We said: Bristol City Women 1-3 Aston Villa Women

 Although Aston Villa have struggled this season, their squad is a lot stronger than the results suggest, and we think that they will finally get their campaign up and running with a narrow victory over newly-promoted Bristol City. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Bristol City Women had a probability of 29.79% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Bristol City Women win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa Women would win this match.

Result
Bristol City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
29.79% (-0.081999999999997 -0.08) 23.01% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 47.19% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Both teams to score 62.49% (-0.38 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.55% (-0.473 -0.47)38.44% (0.474 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.26% (-0.504 -0.5)60.73% (0.504 0.5)
Bristol City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.28999999999999 -0.29)25.03% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.401 -0.4)59.7% (0.401 0.4)
Aston Villa Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.184 -0.18)16.64% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.52% (-0.33 -0.33)46.47% (0.33 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City Women 29.79%
    Aston Villa Women 47.19%
    Draw 23.01%
Bristol City WomenDrawAston Villa Women
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.082 0.08)
2-0 @ 3.99% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.79%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.42% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.17% (0.093 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.01%
1-2 @ 9.28% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.7% (0.069 0.07)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.01% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.84% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 47.19%

Head to Head
Apr 24, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
2-2
Bristol Women
Sargeant (3' og.), Haigh (35'), Bryson (74'), Mastrantonio (90+5')
N'Dow (15'), Evans (37'), Asante (69')
Dec 9, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Women
0-4
Aston Villa

Bryson (75')
Petzelberger (42', 67'), Hayles (57', 75')
Petzelberger (64')
rhs 2.0
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