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Vizela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Vizela
3 - 2
Guimaraes

Guzzo (33'), Cassiano (54'), Aidara (60')
Guzzo (35'), Kouao (73'), Mendez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rochinha (21'), Duarte (83')
Mumin (36'), Ferreira (59'), Semedo (74')

Preview: Vizela vs. Vitoria de Guimaraes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Vizela play host to Vitoria de Guimaraes on Sunday afternoon looking for the win which would take them clear of the Primeira Liga relegation zone.

Meanwhile, Vitoria make the trip to Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela keen to strengthen their bid for the top five in the table, the current gap standing at three points.


Match preview

Benfica's Nicolas Otamendi in action with Vitoria Guimaraes' Abdul Mumin © Reuters

Having failed to qualify for European football last season, Guimaraes are determined to right some wrongs this time around, and head coach Pepa can be satisfied with his team's campaign thus far.

Although they will feel somewhat vulnerable in sixth spot and just a three-point advantage over ninth position, they got the better of rivals Estoril Praia in their most recent outing.

Despite trailing at the hour mark, Guimaraes stormed back to prevail by a 3-1 scoreline, Oscar Estupinan chipping in with a double to take his tally for the season to eight.

With Braga and Benfica to come before the end of February, Pepa will not get carried away, but their latest triumph has set them up to improve an away record which features just two wins from 10 games.

Os Vimaranenses also cruised to three points in the reverse fixture back in August, ultimately emerging victorious by a 4-0 scoreline.

Earlier in the season, Vizela became synonymous with draws, a total of seven being recorded in eight games at one stages, but they have now gone the same amount of league games without a stalemate.

Instead, nine points have been accumulated from a possible 27 points, that return being boosted by recent victories over Belenenses and Tondela respectively.

Alvaro Pacheco's team were trailing heading into the final quarter of their latest contest, Raphael Guzzo and Cassiano netted late goals to secure a 3-2 success.

Despite hitting the goal trail in that contest, Vizela return to action at their home ground having scored just eight times in 10 fixtures on familiar territory.

Vizela Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W

Vizela form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Vizela will have to make do without Samu for this game after the midfielder collected his fifth yellow card of the league campaign last time out.

Guzzo, who got on the scoresheet as a substitute, is in line to take his place, while Nuno Moreira is on standby to take the spot of Guilherme Schettine if he does not recover from a minor injury.

Guimaraes goalkeeper Bruno Varela will be considered for a recall between the sticks after recovering from coronavirus.

However, Andre Andre will miss out in midfield after returning a positive test, with Andre Almeida potentially coming into the team.

Having scored in the last contest, Rochinha could take the place of Ruben Lameiras.

Vizela possible starting lineup:
Silva; Ofori, Aidara, Anderson, Kouao; Mendez, Claudemir, Guzzo; Bondoso, Schettine, Moreira

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Varela; Ferreira, Borevkovic, Mumin, Soares; Almeida, Semendo, Janvier; Edwards, Estupinan, Rochinha


SM words green background

We say: Vizela 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Despite the difference in league positions, these two teams head into this contest in similar form. With that in mind, and with Vizela possessing home advantage, we are backing a low-scoring draw, one which will benefit the hosts rather than the visitors.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Vizela vs Guimaraes

Vizela
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
42.9%
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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