MX23RW : Wednesday, May 8 13:42:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
Penarol
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Feb 27, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 0
Nacional

Ceppelini (32' pen.)
Arias (73')
Ceppelini (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trezza (42'), Luis Rodriguez (49'), Gigliotti (77'), Trasante (90+4')
Gigliotti (82')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 26.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (8.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Penarol in this match.

Result
PenarolDrawNacional
47.4%26.53%26.07%
Both teams to score 48.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.15%55.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.03%76.97%
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43%23.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.36%57.64%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14%36.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.35%73.65%
Score Analysis
    Penarol 47.39%
    Nacional 26.07%
    Draw 26.53%
PenarolDrawNacional
1-0 @ 12.55%
2-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 9.05%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-0 @ 1.58%
4-1 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.69%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 8.67%
1-2 @ 6.25%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 26.07%

Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 9
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Ceppelini (59'), Gargano (78'), Dawson (90+2')
Carballo (13'), Trezza (45'), Polenta (56'), Zunino (59'), Almeida (80'), Ocampo (88')
Jul 23, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Penarol
0-1
Nacional
Jul 16, 2021 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Nacional
1-2
Penarol
Marichal (65'), Mendez (76')
Rodriguez (90+3')
Jul 4, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nacional
2-0
Penarol
Ocampo (71'), Candido (84')
Neves (12'), Trasante (52'), Corujo (58'), Cantera (79')

Trindade (22'), Kagelmacher (81'), Acosta (89')
Feb 3, 2021 9.30pm
Gameweek 4
Penarol
0-0
Nacional
Urreta (45'), Gargano (81')
Rodriguez (84')
Mendez (72'), Oliveros (86')
Mendez (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol119202461829
2NacionalNacional1174024111325
3ProgresoProgreso117312316724
4Defensor SportingDefensor115422113819
5Cerro Largo115331310318
6Boston RiverBoston River115331513218
7Racing de MontevideoRacing114341716115
8DanubioDanubio113441214-213
9LiverpoolLiverpool112631717012
10River PlateRiver Plate113351517-212
11Montevideo WanderersWanderers113351216-412
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado113261215-311
13Rampla JuniorsRampla112361023-139
14CerroCerro111551121-108
15Miramar Misiones111461523-87
16FenixFenix11047515-104


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