Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Danubio
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerrito 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
68
Last Game: Danubio 3-0 Albion
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
38
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Danubio |
54.09% ( -0.42) | 26.93% ( 0) | 18.97% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 39.63% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
