Luhansk

1 - 3

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Zorya Luhansk had a probability of 20.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Zorya Luhansk win it was 1-0 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.