Dnipro-1

2 - 1

Shakhtar

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 53.16%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.