Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Estadio Joao Paulo II
Lusitania1 - 4Benfica
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-1 Benfica
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, October 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Lusitania 0-7 Benfica
Regardless of how strong Schmidt opts to go with his starting XI, even a second or third-string Benfica side should comfortably thrash their fourth-tier opponents here. Lusitania will take encouragement from Benfica's recent struggles against lower-league opposition, but they will be completely out of their depth in this one and will just have to enjoy the occasion and remain hopeful of keeping the score down. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 92.79%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Lusitania had a probability of 1.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (12.64%) and 0-2 (11.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.62%), while for a Lusitania win it was 1-0 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result | ||
Lusitania | Draw | Benfica |
1.7% ( -0) | 5.51% ( -0) | 92.79% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 33.34% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.18% ( -0) | 22.82% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.98% ( -0) | 42.02% ( 0) |
Lusitania Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
34.23% ( -0.02) | 65.76% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
6.67% ( -0) | 93.33% ( 0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.4% ( 0) | 2.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
87.91% ( 0) | 12.09% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Lusitania 1.7%
Benfica 92.77%
Draw 5.51%
Lusitania | Draw | Benfica |
Other @ 1.7% Total : 1.7% | 1-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 1.71% 2-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 5.51% | 0-3 @ 13.85% 0-4 @ 12.64% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 11.38% 0-5 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0) 0-6 @ 5.61% ( 0) 1-4 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) 1-5 @ 3.87% ( -0) 0-7 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-6 @ 2.35% ( -0) 0-8 @ 1.34% ( 0) 1-7 @ 1.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 92.77% |
How you voted: Lusitania vs Benfica
Lusitania
12.0%Draw
12.0%Benfica
76.0%25
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Lusitania
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-22 00:40:58
ET
Vasco
3-3
Fortaleza
Pens.
(5-4)
ET
Vasco
3-3
Fortaleza
Pens.
(5-4)
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |
1
Arsenal's leading striker target 'set to hold contract talks with current club'
2
The top 10 football matches of all time
3
Liverpool 'step up interest in 26-year-old Juventus winger'
4
Utrecht vs. Sparta - prediction, team news, lineups
5
Al Fateh vs. Al Hazem - prediction, team news, lineups
6
This weekend's permutations: Who can be crowned champions, win promotion or suffer relegation?
7
Pochettino 'ready to demand assurances in Chelsea talks'
8
Man Utd, Chelsea 'face competition from fellow PL club for 38-year-old manager'
9
Chelsea part ways with Pochettino by mutual consent
10
Villa 'considering audacious move for Man United, Bayern target'
Sport News 24/7