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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 29
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadyum Samsun

Samsunspor
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Holse (12'), Ntcham (82')
Tait (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ozturk (14' og.)
Saponara (19'), Kitsiou (52'), Cigerci (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Samsunspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 1-0 Samsunspor
Sunday, March 3 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Istanbulspor
Saturday, March 2 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Samsunspor 2-0 Ankaragucu

Samsunspor's superb home form this season combined with Ankaragucu's abysmal away form makes us believe that the home side should win this game fairly comfortably. Ankaragucu have struggled for goals at the best of times this year, but with their top scorer Bekiroglu still out with injury we cannot see them scoring in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Samsunspor win with a probability of 53.62%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Samsunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for an Ankaragucu win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Samsunspor would win this match.

Result
SamsunsporDrawAnkaragucu
53.62% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 24.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 21.52% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (0.073 0.07)53.36% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (0.061999999999998 0.06)74.9% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Samsunspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13% (0.025000000000006 0.03)19.87% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.03% (0.042000000000002 0.04)51.97% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (0.064 0.06)39.7% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (0.058 0.06)76.38% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Samsunspor 53.61%
    Ankaragucu 21.52%
    Draw 24.85%
SamsunsporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 53.61%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.4% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.85%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 21.52%

Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Ankaragucu
2-0
Samsunspor
Bekiroglu (71'), Sowe (75')

van Drongelen (54'), Celik (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray36323189246599
2Fenerbahce36296192316193
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor361941364481661
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul361771251401158
5BesiktasBesiktas36167134943655
6KasimpasaKasimpasa36157146064-452
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor361214105148350
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor36147154856-849
9SivassporSivasspor361212124252-1048
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor361112134147-645
11Adana Demirspor361014125153-244
12Samsunspor36119164048-842
13KayserisporKayserispor361111144153-1241
14KonyasporKonyaspor36913143748-1140
15AnkaragucuAnkaragucu36815134448-439
16GaziantepGaziantep36108184656-1038
17Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk36910174548-337
18Hatayspor36813154150-937
19Pendikspor3699184272-3036
RIstanbulspor3647252671-4516


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