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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 17
Jan 3, 2023 at 5pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
1 - 2
Fenerbahce

Wright (14')
Fernando (26'), Fredy (35'), Vural (61'), Bayrakdar (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Batshuayi (55', 62' pen.)
Aziz (6'), Alioski (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fenerbahce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istanbul 2-0 Antalyaspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Fenerbahce 4-0 Hatayspor
Tuesday, December 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 0-3 Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor have not resumed their campaign after the World Cup in the best fashion after losing successive matches, and the visit of Fenerbahce is not the ideal game for the hosts to change their fortunes. The Yellow Canaries are embroiled in a three-way title race so need to string successive wins together, and they should be able to comfortably collect all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 53.31%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
23.5% (0.199 0.2) 23.19% (0.555 0.56) 53.31% (-0.756 -0.76)
Both teams to score 56.01% (-1.623 -1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-2.268 -2.27)44.39% (2.265 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-2.235 -2.24)66.76% (2.232 2.23)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.17% (-1.073 -1.07)32.83% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.6% (-1.211 -1.21)69.39% (1.208 1.21)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38% (-1.072 -1.07)16.61% (1.069 1.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.56% (-1.958 -1.96)46.43% (1.955 1.96)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 23.5%
    Fenerbahce 53.31%
    Draw 23.18%
AntalyasporDrawFenerbahce
1-0 @ 6.08% (0.413 0.41)
2-1 @ 6.07% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.38% (0.137 0.14)
3-1 @ 2.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 23.5%
1-1 @ 10.9% (0.36 0.36)
0-0 @ 5.45% (0.518 0.52)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.18%
0-1 @ 9.79% (0.6 0.6)
1-2 @ 9.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.232 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.86% (-0.232 -0.23)
0-3 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.26% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-4 @ 2.63% (-0.206 -0.21)
0-4 @ 2.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-5 @ 0.94% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 53.31%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Fenerbahce

Antalyaspor
11.1%
Draw
17.5%
Fenerbahce
71.4%
63
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 4pm
Antalyaspor
1-1
Fenerbahce
Sinik (81')
Sari (71'), Fredy (71'), Kudryashov (90+7')
Sosa (72')
Kadioglu (30')
Aug 22, 2021 7.45pm
Fenerbahce
2-0
Antalyaspor
Zajc (89'), Valencia (90+2')
Sangare (62')

Naldo (90+3'), Boffin (90+6')
Mar 4, 2021 4pm
Fenerbahce
1-1
Antalyaspor
Valencia (83')
Szalai (7'), Cisse (88'), Kadioglu (89'), Pelkas (90+2'), Sosa (90+7')
Fredy (12')
Fredy (21'), Amilton (33'), Sari (38'), Naldo (61'), Orgill (88')
Boffin (90+9')
Nov 2, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
1-2
Fenerbahce
Podolski (52')
Sari (37'), Orgill (50')
Jahovic (43')
Tufan (49'), Perotti (84' pen.)
Valencia (60'), Gumus (90+7')
Gumus (90+7')
Feb 29, 2020 5pm
Antalyaspor
2-2
Fenerbahce
Amilton (52'), Ozmert (57')
Podolski (63'), Jahovic (90'), Fredy (90'), Ozmert (90'), Celustka (90')
Ozmert (90')
Muriqi (35'), Zajc (90')
Gustavo (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray37323289256499
2Fenerbahce37306193316296
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor372041365481764
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul371771351411058
5BesiktasBesiktas37168135145656
6KasimpasaKasimpasa37158146064-453
7AlanyasporAlanyaspor371215105249351
8SivassporSivasspor371312124553-851
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor37148154856-850
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor371212134348-548
11Adana Demirspor371014135255-344
12Samsunspor371110164149-843
13KayserisporKayserispor371112144355-1242
14GaziantepGaziantep37118184957-841
15KonyasporKonyaspor37914143950-1141
16AnkaragucuAnkaragucu37816134448-440
17Hatayspor37814154352-938
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk37910184651-537
19Pendikspor37910184272-3037
RIstanbulspor3747262774-4716


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